
Definition: Predictive scheduling is a set of rules, usually established by state or city law, that requires covered employers to give employees work schedules in advance and to pay a premium, often called predictability pay, when they change those schedules without enough notice. These laws are sometimes called fair workweek or secure scheduling laws.
Unpredictable schedules make it hard for hourly employees to plan child care, school, second jobs, and transportation. Predictive scheduling laws aim to give workers more stability while still letting businesses adjust to demand. For employers, compliance depends on good scheduling habits: publishing schedules early, tracking changes, and knowing when a change triggers extra pay.
Although each law is different, most share common elements:
According to Oregon's Bureau of Labor and Industries (BOLI) predictive scheduling page:
According to the City of Seattle's Secure Scheduling Ordinance page:
Other cities and states have their own versions. Our predictive scheduling laws guide covers the topic in more depth, and you should confirm details with each jurisdiction's official agency.
A covered Oregon retailer posts a schedule 14 days in advance. Then, with less than 14 days' notice and no exception applying:
| Change | Regular rate | Predictability pay |
|---|---|---|
| Employee A's shift extended by 1 hour | $18.00 | 1 extra hour x $18.00 = $18.00 (plus pay for the hour worked) |
| Employee B's 6-hour shift canceled | $17.00 | 6 hours x ($17.00 x 0.5) = $51.00 |
| Employee C's 8-hour shift cut to 5 hours | $16.00 | 3 hours x ($16.00 x 0.5) = $24.00 |
In this example, late changes cost $93.00 in predictability pay on top of wages for hours actually worked. Planning schedules more accurately in advance reduces these costs.
If your business may be covered by a predictive scheduling law, start with a short readiness review. Confirm your employee and location counts against each law's thresholds. Review how far ahead you currently publish schedules and how often they change after posting. Identify the managers who build schedules and make sure they know the notice period and the premium rules. Finally, decide where you will record the reason for each change, since exceptions such as employee-requested swaps usually depend on documentation. With these pieces in place, compliance becomes part of the normal scheduling routine rather than a separate task.
EZTime helps you build and publish schedules ahead of time with AI shift scheduling and reusable shift templates. Shift swaps with manager approval give employees flexibility while keeping a record of who requested each change, and PTO and absence management shows approved time off before the schedule goes out. Actual hours are captured with a GPS mobile time clock with geofencing, NFC tags, a tablet kiosk, or biometric clocks, with timecard corrections tracked in an audit trail. Payroll-ready Excel and PDF exports work with any payroll software; EZTime does not run payroll. Plans start at $2 per employee per month with a 14-day trial. See scheduling software and pricing.
This is general information, not legal advice.
No. Predictive scheduling requirements in the US come from specific states and cities. Oregon and Seattle are two examples with published official guidance.
The laws vary. Oregon and Seattle both require covered employers to provide schedules at least 14 days in advance.
Predictability pay is extra pay owed when an employer changes a posted schedule without the required notice. In Oregon, for example, it can be one extra hour at the regular rate for added time or half the regular rate for each scheduled hour not worked when hours are cut.
Often not. Oregon’s law applies to retail, hospitality, and food service employers with 500 or more employees worldwide, and Seattle’s ordinance applies to retail and food service establishments with 500 or more employees worldwide, with an additional location threshold for full-service restaurants.